Minority governments in Canada typically don’t last more than two years and the Trudeau Liberals are close to reaching that milestone.
Mount Allison University associate politics professor Mario Levesque says the trajectory of COVID-19 will play a big role.
“Right now their chance may be hampered depending on the vaccine rollout and how long this pandemic continues. People are agitated and so they may want to start tuning out the government and look for a fresh face or a change or what not.”
Levesque says the Trudeau government is managing the pandemic as best as could be expected since there is no rule book.
He believes the Liberals missed a chance to call an election last fall noting how the government had strong support before the vaccine rollout.
If the rollout takes longer, Levesque says the government may decide to call an election in September instead.
He adds the state of the economy, previous scandals such as SNC Lavalin and the incoming Biden-administration in the United States will also be factors.
